← The ladder
Colorado Springs, CO
RequestedThis is a planning tool, not a prediction. Of the 80 numbers behind a season in Colorado Springs, 31 are published figures, 35 are worked out from published figures, and 14 are our own estimates. 43 of them were read straight out of a federal file that covers every city in the country, so there was no citation to trust and no page to misread. You can change any of them. Your result is only as good as the numbers you agree with.
How long until
you have your $10,000 back
7.0 months
After 90 days the project is worth
$7,361
Against the $10,000 you put in
-$2,639
This projects the first 90 days forward in a straight line. Early months
carry start-up drag, so later ones may run better. It is a direction, not a date.
Where the money goes on day one
The project is behind before the car turns a
wheel. That is true in every town on this list, and it is the hole the months above are
measured against.
You put in$10,000
Hard costs, paid once
Down payment on a $28,900 car
-$2,900
Installing home charging
-$2,250
Permits and onboardingplaceholder
-$650
Money left to operate on$4,200
Plus the car equity. You paid $28,900, but it would only fetch
$27,166 the moment it is yours, and you owe $26,000 of that
+$1,166
What the project is worth on day one$5,366
The project is $4,634 down before the
first fare: $2,900 genuinely spent, and $1,734 that vanished the moment the car stopped
being new.
Two honest caveats. The permit figure is marked
placeholder because the model invents it — the obligation is real, the amount is
not researched. And nothing here counts sales tax, excise, title or registration on the
purchase, which vary by state and this model does not yet carry, so every figure is a best
case.
What comes off every fare before you see it
The rider pays100%
The network takesour estimate
−30%
Reaches the business70%
That 30% comes off the
top — before energy, cleaning, insurance, the depot or the loan payment. Every
figure on this page is already after it.
Tesla has published no owner-operator
revenue share for Robotaxi, anywhere, so this is an expectation rather than a reported
figure. 30% is roughly what the established ride-hail platforms take and what people
following the rollout broadly expect. It is the largest single lever in the whole model:
at 25% instead, the same season leaves about 7% more in your hand — more
than any driving decision you can make. Fares also settle 7 days after they are
earned.
People
494,743
El Paso County
Rides a day
18,346
all operators, town-wide
Fast charging
$0.68
per kWh, public
Why this town is in the game
Asked for by Dave, for a state the ladder had never touched. At 494,743 people it is the largest market added since Chicago, with 1.2 million airport boardings five miles out. Its research held 13 of 14 citations, the best ratio of any town on the list.
What this row rests on
80 numbers describe this town. Every one of
them says where it came from.
31 published by somebody else
35 worked out from those
14 our own estimates
Citations we went back and checked
13 held
/ 1 failed
Anything that failed was demoted to an estimate and says so.
What we could not find out
2
- visitor_local_trips_per_stay: the panel's own draws disagreed by 2.5x (0.7, 0.8, 1, 0.4, 0.55), so this component is not settled
- rides_per_day: the five named sources were checked and none publishes a trip count for this city, so the estimate stands on its own arithmetic
Some of the numbers, and where they came from
A sample. The whole pack is in the data API.
Rides a day, whole townour estimate18,346 rides/day
Total app-hailed trips a day across every operator in the city -- the pool your fleet competes for a share of, not the number you will get. no published figure we could verify
Average paid trip lengthworked out7.0 miles
No one publishes a Colorado Springs ride-hail trip length, so this is the city’s own geography (202.23 sq mi) stepped onto CDOT’s statewide TNC passenger-trip length of 7 miles, which matches Uber’s local 17-minute typical ride better than a dense-core 4–5 mil
Passengers boarding a yearpublished1,248,261 enplanements/year
Overnight electricityworked out0.098 $/kWh
All-in midnight–06:00 rate on Public Service Co of Colorado (Xcel) Schedule RE-TOU: PUC-published off-peak energy charge (bundled energy + delivery) hour-weighted across 2026 summer and winter, then grossed up by the Q2 2026 RE-TOU Electric Commodity Adjustmen
Evening on-peak electricityworked out0.265 $/kWh
All-in Schedule RE-TOU on-peak energy charge (bundled energy + delivery) hour-weighted across 2026 summer and winter, plus the 36.89% RE-TOU ECA; use this for the expensive evening window, which the tariff sets at 5–9 p.m. weekdays, not the whole 16:00–midnigh
Insurance on each car after the firstworked out331 $/month
What each additional vehicle adds to the premium. Lower than the first car because a fleet policy spreads the administrative part of a premium across the vehicles while the risk part scales with them -- which is part of why growing is the way out of the trap.
A small commercial bay, per monthworked out1,487 $/month
This is a derivation, not a local quote: a national published figure scaled by a published local index. Nobody publishes what a 1,500 square foot bay lets for in a town this size, because small commercial bays let privately, one handshake at a time, and no ind
A full interior cleanworked out77 $
This is a derivation, not a local quote: a national published figure scaled by a published local index. Nobody publishes a full interior detail in a town this size, because it is a manual service: keeping a price list current is work, and the price is whatever
Demand generatorsour estimate
Fort Carson (32,410 military/civilian/contractors, Feb 2025); USAFA (~4,100 cadets, just north); Peterson Space Force Base; UCHealth Memorial Central (404 available beds) and North (140); Penrose Hosp
The named generators that actually move people: the south-side Army post, the north-side Air Force Academy, Space Force at Peterson, the two hospital systems, the colleges, and the tourist/Olympic west-southwest. no published figure we could verify
Published paid-ride countour estimate0 trips/year
No current Colorado Springs or El Paso County TNC or taxi trip total is published; a zero here is an audited absence, not a claim that nobody rides. no published figure we could verify
Researched 2026-09-13 on pipeline 2.1.0. Measured on sim 1.5.0, 12 seeds, median reported. A result is only comparable to another from the same sim version.