Las Vegas, NV

Original

This is a planning tool, not a prediction. Of the 78 numbers behind a season in Las Vegas, 30 are published figures, 30 are worked out from published figures, and 18 are our own estimates. 42 of them were read straight out of a federal file that covers every city in the country, so there was no citation to trust and no page to misread. You can change any of them. Your result is only as good as the numbers you agree with.

How long until you have your $10,000 back

2.7 months

After 90 days the project is worth

$10,590

Against the $10,000 you put in

+$590

This projects the first 90 days forward in a straight line. Early months carry start-up drag, so later ones may run better. It is a direction, not a date.

Where the money goes on day one

The project is behind before the car turns a wheel. That is true in every town on this list, and it is the hole the months above are measured against.

You put in$10,000

Hard costs, paid once

Down payment on a $28,900 car -$2,900

Installing home charging -$2,250

Permits and onboardingplaceholder -$650

Money left to operate on$4,200

Plus the car equity. You paid $28,900, but it would only fetch $27,166 the moment it is yours, and you owe $26,000 of that +$1,166

What the project is worth on day one$5,366

The project is $4,634 down before the first fare: $2,900 genuinely spent, and $1,734 that vanished the moment the car stopped being new.

Two honest caveats. The permit figure is marked placeholder because the model invents it — the obligation is real, the amount is not researched. And nothing here counts sales tax, excise, title or registration on the purchase, which vary by state and this model does not yet carry, so every figure is a best case.

What comes off every fare before you see it

The rider pays100%

The network takesour estimate −30%

Reaches the business70%

That 30% comes off the top — before energy, cleaning, insurance, the depot or the loan payment. Every figure on this page is already after it.

Tesla has published no owner-operator revenue share for Robotaxi, anywhere, so this is an expectation rather than a reported figure. 30% is roughly what the established ride-hail platforms take and what people following the rollout broadly expect. It is the largest single lever in the whole model: at 25% instead, the same season leaves about 7% more in your hand — more than any driving decision you can make. Fares also settle 7 days after they are earned.

People

679,817

Clark County

Rides a day

93,874

all operators, town-wide

Airport

12.3 mi

worked out

Fast charging

$0.54

per kWh, public

Why this town is in the game

The other world the game shipped with. A METRO: four districts, and the morning decision is which one each car works.

What this row rests on

78 numbers describe this town. Every one of them says where it came from.

30 published by somebody else 30 worked out from those 18 our own estimates

Citations we went back and checked

13 held / 7 failed

Anything that failed was demoted to an estimate and says so.

What we could not find out

visitor_air_arrival_share: downgraded to an estimate because 'visitors_year', which it is derived from, lost its citation
rides_per_day: the chain (93,874/day) and the published cross-check (35,616/day) disagree by 2.6x -- the estimate is an order of magnitude only

Some of the numbers, and where they came from

A sample. The whole pack is in the data API.

Rides a day, whole townour estimate93,874 rides/day

Total app-hailed trips a day across every operator in the city -- the pool your fleet competes for a share of, not the number you will get. no published figure we could verify

Average paid trip lengthour estimate5.0 miles

Reasoned from the city's own land area plus typical US ride-hail lengths and Las Vegas's clustered Strip/airport geography. no published figure we could verify

Passengers boarding a yearpublished28,244,966 enplanements/year

FAA calendar year 2024 ENPLANEMENTS -- passengers BOARDING, which is about half of the arrivals-plus-departures figure an airport press release quotes. This is the federal count, read out of the FAA's own file. FAA, CY2024 Passenger Boarding (Enplanement) Data for U.S. Airports

Overnight electricitypublished0.065 $/kWh

NV Energy OGS-TOU small-commercial Electric Vehicle Recharge Rider (GSEVRR) all-in bundled rate (BTGR + BTER + DEAA + TRED + REPR + UEC + NDPP + ESAP + EE) for 12:01 a.m.–8 a.m. daily, which fully covers midnight–06:00; winter figure $0.06499 (summer $0.06769) Nevada Power Company d/b/a NV Energy

Evening electricitypublished0.139 $/kWh

NV Energy OGS-TOU all-in bundled summer on-peak rate $0.13874 (3:01 p.m.–9:00 p.m. June–Sept only). The asked 16:00–midnight window is wider than the utility’s 6-hour on-peak, so a true blend would be lower most of the year; this is the published peak energy+d Nevada Power Company d/b/a NV Energy

Insurance on each car after the firstworked out332 $/month

What each additional vehicle adds to the premium. Lower than the first car because a fleet policy spreads the administrative part of a premium across the vehicles while the risk part scales with them -- which is part of why growing is the way out of the trap.

A small commercial bay, per monthworked out1,410 $/month

This is a derivation, not a local quote: a national published figure scaled by a published local index. Nobody publishes what a 1,500 square foot bay lets for in a town this size, because small commercial bays let privately, one handshake at a time, and no ind

A full interior cleanworked out65 $

This is a derivation, not a local quote: a national published figure scaled by a published local index. Nobody publishes a full interior detail in a town this size, because it is a manual service: keeping a price list current is work, and the price is whatever

Demand generatorsour estimate

Sunrise Hospital (~834 beds), UMC (Level I trauma), UNLV (~33,600 students), CSN (~30,700), MGM Resorts 50,000+ and Caesars 20,000+ employees, Strip casinos, Allegiant Stadium, Sphere, Las Vegas Conve

The named hospitals, public colleges, casino employers and venues that actually concentrate demand in the Las Vegas valley; several sit just outside city limits (Strip, UNLV, Sphere) but still drive city trips. Unconfirmed -- treated as our estimate. no published figure we could verify

Reported taxi trips (cross-check)published13,000,000 trips/year

Nevada Taxicab Authority figure for Clark County 2024; rideshare totals are not published, so this is taxi-only and a lower-bound cross-check. This is a secondary source -- it republishes a figure it did not itself produce. The Nevada Independent (citing Nevada Taxicab Authority)

Researched 2026-09-09 on pipeline 2.1.0. Measured on sim 1.5.0, 12 seeds, median reported. A result is only comparable to another from the same sim version.